Mack's Peril

[jnfs2014]

Ugh, HTA wasn't a Vamp/Wolf in Mack's first Werewolf. It was me, Red, Ridley, and MYL. So it'd only be twice. But....

[GreatGonzales106]

Does it really make any difference what he has been in previous games? I don't think so.

[Matt]

...I think the innocents made a mistake. Wasn't HTA a baddie last time?

Even the more reason to get rid of him. What makes you think he won't be a baddie a third time in a row? Odds are in favor that he wouldn't be, but it could happen. Either way having HTA killed was mistake we all made, though I am almost certain the votes was close between me and him, so I am glad to still be around seeing my ability is useful like the last werewolf.

you don't even know that anyone voted for you, or did Mack tell you in chat yesterday?

Quite a few people said they voted for me, openly admitted to it and their names will remain hidden.

Does it really make any difference what he has been in previous games? I don't think so.

It does if it is a matter of odds of being a baddie again. I just hope he really was a baddie or it would have been a waste of a day phase.

[Red]

I still think the innocents made a mistake. But whatever, hope he wasn't innocent.

Whatever though, I WAS getting tired of him bragging abut how he was head Werewolf, when it doesn't make a difference.

[Matt]

I still think the innocents made a mistake. But whatever, hope he wasn't innocent.

Whatever though, I WAS getting tired of him bragging abut how he was head Werewolf, when it doesn't make a difference.

He had final decision on who to kill, right? If so, then it made a big difference. Either way HTA acts all cocky to hide is small dick.

[Jono2]

I still think the innocents made a mistake. But whatever, hope he wasn't innocent.

Whatever though, I WAS getting tired of him bragging abut how he was head Werewolf, when it doesn't make a difference.

He had final decision on who to kill, right? If so, then it made a big difference. Either way HTA acts all cocky to hide is small dick.

HTA was gone half of the game.  I made 90% of the decisions.

all roles are decided at random when the game starts.  One game should not affect how you act in the next.

[Matt]

I still think the innocents made a mistake. But whatever, hope he wasn't innocent.

Whatever though, I WAS getting tired of him bragging abut how he was head Werewolf, when it doesn't make a difference.

He had final decision on who to kill, right? If so, then it made a big difference. Either way HTA acts all cocky to hide is small dick.

HTA was gone half of the game.  I made 90% of the decisions.

all roles are decided at random when the game starts.  One game should not affect how you act in the next.

Note how you said "random", this is why I say odds. You're not given a specific role for a specific reason, you're randomly chosen for it. So the odds of you being innocent are more likely then being a baddie, and 2x more likely to be innocent next game then baddie again.

[Jono2]

I still think the innocents made a mistake. But whatever, hope he wasn't innocent.

Whatever though, I WAS getting tired of him bragging abut how he was head Werewolf, when it doesn't make a difference.

He had final decision on who to kill, right? If so, then it made a big difference. Either way HTA acts all cocky to hide is small dick.

HTA was gone half of the game.  I made 90% of the decisions.

all roles are decided at random when the game starts.  One game should not affect how you act in the next.

Note how you said "random", this is why I say odds. You're not given a specific role for a specific reason, you're randomly chosen for it. So the odds of you being innocent are more likely then being a baddie, and 2x more likely to be innocent next game then baddie again.

you're just as likely to be innocent one game as you were innocent the last, or bad one game as you were the last.  odds don't change with time.  HTA had the same likelihood of being bad this game as everyone else.

[Matt]

I still think the innocents made a mistake. But whatever, hope he wasn't innocent.

Whatever though, I WAS getting tired of him bragging abut how he was head Werewolf, when it doesn't make a difference.

He had final decision on who to kill, right? If so, then it made a big difference. Either way HTA acts all cocky to hide is small dick.

HTA was gone half of the game.  I made 90% of the decisions.

all roles are decided at random when the game starts.  One game should not affect how you act in the next.

Note how you said "random", this is why I say odds. You're not given a specific role for a specific reason, you're randomly chosen for it. So the odds of you being innocent are more likely then being a baddie, and 2x more likely to be innocent next game then baddie again.

you're just as likely to be innocent one game as you were innocent the last, or bad one game as you were the last.  odds don't change with time.  HTA had the same likelihood of being bad this game as everyone else.

The odds do change actually. There are more innocent roles then baddie roles.

-There are usually 6 Bad roles
-There are usually 10 Innocent roles

Odds are more in favor of being a innocent.

[Jono2]

I still think the innocents made a mistake. But whatever, hope he wasn't innocent.

Whatever though, I WAS getting tired of him bragging abut how he was head Werewolf, when it doesn't make a difference.

He had final decision on who to kill, right? If so, then it made a big difference. Either way HTA acts all cocky to hide is small dick.

HTA was gone half of the game.  I made 90% of the decisions.

all roles are decided at random when the game starts.  One game should not affect how you act in the next.

Note how you said "random", this is why I say odds. You're not given a specific role for a specific reason, you're randomly chosen for it. So the odds of you being innocent are more likely then being a baddie, and 2x more likely to be innocent next game then baddie again.

you're just as likely to be innocent one game as you were innocent the last, or bad one game as you were the last.  odds don't change with time.  HTA had the same likelihood of being bad this game as everyone else.

The odds do change actually. There are more innocent roles then baddie roles.

-There are usually 6 Bad roles
-There are usually 10 Innocent roles

Odds are more in favor of being a innocent.

So, i guess you don't know what I meant.

There were 5 evil roles last time.

Let's assume there are 5 evil roles this time as well, making 5 evil and 11 innocent/ambiguous (as you would have won if you and your lover had survived).

Let's say you flip a coin.  You have a 1 in 2 chance of getting heads.

You flip another coin.  You have a 1 in 2 chance of getting heads.

However, the chance of you getting two heads in a row prior to flipping any coins is 1 in 4.

[Matt]

So, i guess you don't know what I meant.

There were 5 evil roles last time.

Let's assume there are 5 evil roles this time as well, making 5 evil and 11 innocent/ambiguous (as you would have won if you and your lover had survived).

Let's say you flip a coin.  You have a 1 in 2 chance of getting heads.

You flip another coin.  You have a 1 in 2 chance of getting heads.

However, the chance of you getting two heads in a row prior to flipping any coins is 1 in 4.

Your point is a similar variation of what I am saying but with a different use of words.

[Jono2]

So, i guess you don't know what I meant.

There were 5 evil roles last time.

Let's assume there are 5 evil roles this time as well, making 5 evil and 11 innocent/ambiguous (as you would have won if you and your lover had survived).

Let's say you flip a coin.  You have a 1 in 2 chance of getting heads.

You flip another coin.  You have a 1 in 2 chance of getting heads.

However, the chance of you getting two heads in a row prior to flipping any coins is 1 in 4.

Your point is a similar variation of what I am saying but with a different use of words.

oh, the point you were making was that the number of innocents & vamps changes? o_O

[Matt]

So, i guess you don't know what I meant.

There were 5 evil roles last time.

Let's assume there are 5 evil roles this time as well, making 5 evil and 11 innocent/ambiguous (as you would have won if you and your lover had survived).

Let's say you flip a coin.  You have a 1 in 2 chance of getting heads.

You flip another coin.  You have a 1 in 2 chance of getting heads.

However, the chance of you getting two heads in a row prior to flipping any coins is 1 in 4.

Your point is a similar variation of what I am saying but with a different use of words.

oh, the point you were making was that the number of innocents & vamps changes? o_O

I never said anything about the number of roles changing, I was talking about the odds of being a innocents or baddie.

[Jono2]

So, i guess you don't know what I meant.

There were 5 evil roles last time.

Let's assume there are 5 evil roles this time as well, making 5 evil and 11 innocent/ambiguous (as you would have won if you and your lover had survived).

Let's say you flip a coin.  You have a 1 in 2 chance of getting heads.

You flip another coin.  You have a 1 in 2 chance of getting heads.

However, the chance of you getting two heads in a row prior to flipping any coins is 1 in 4.

Your point is a similar variation of what I am saying but with a different use of words.

oh, the point you were making was that the number of innocents & vamps changes? o_O

I never said anything about the number of roles changing, I was talking about the odds of being a innocents or baddie.

the odds of being an innocent or a baddie never change though.  I don't know what you're getting at.

the odds of you being a baddie from round to round never change.  the odds of you being a baddie all 4 times of 4 is a different issue.

[Matt]

So, i guess you don't know what I meant.

There were 5 evil roles last time.

Let's assume there are 5 evil roles this time as well, making 5 evil and 11 innocent/ambiguous (as you would have won if you and your lover had survived).

Let's say you flip a coin.  You have a 1 in 2 chance of getting heads.

You flip another coin.  You have a 1 in 2 chance of getting heads.

However, the chance of you getting two heads in a row prior to flipping any coins is 1 in 4.

Your point is a similar variation of what I am saying but with a different use of words.

oh, the point you were making was that the number of innocents & vamps changes? o_O

I never said anything about the number of roles changing, I was talking about the odds of being a innocents or baddie.

the odds of being an innocent or a baddie never change though.  I don't know what you're getting at.

the odds of you being a baddie from round to round never change.  the odds of you being a baddie all 4 times of 4 is a different issue.

This is like the conversation we had last night, we're not getting anywhere.